Thursday, September 30, 2004

Fantasy sleepers a stodu C

Pretty sure that these are not sleepers to most people but to some maybe.

Jamaal Magloire - What an end to last season he had.
Dalembert - young mutombo

for some sleeper guards:
Manu Ginobili, Spurs
The only thing preventing Manu from fantasy stardom in his second season was the fact that his coach, Gregg Popovich, didn't completely trust his decision-making, kept him on a short leash, and started Hedo Turkoglu in front of him. After the Spurs gave Manu $52 million and Pop watched from the opposing bench as Manu dominated Team USA en route to a gold medal, we don't see that trust issue being a problem going forward. Manu has the versatility to fill up your fantasy scorecard in virtually every category, and projections at about 17 points, six assists, six rebounds, and over two steals per game frankly seem conservative for one our favorite sleepers at any position.

Marquis Daniels, Mavericks
If your squad fell apart midseason, you may not have even heard of this guy. We'll let the numbers speak for themselves: in April, Daniels averaged 20 points, 6.3 rebounds, 5.1 assists, and 2.3 steals on 52 percent shooting in 42 minutes per game. You can bet that Daniels' emergence late in the season won quite a few fantasy titles and that the champ wants his guy back on the squad to defend his crown. Despite a crowded Mavericks' rotation with plenty of scorers, step in and swipe Marquis before it's too late. The Mavs paid him $38 million after his stellar rookie campaign, and he doesn't need a ton of shots to add value to your lineup.

Gerald Wallace, Bobcats
Wallace flashed that certain something in limited minutes with the Kings, warning us to act quickly if he ever got a chance at extended playing time. In that regard, Wallace hit the jackpot when he was selected by Charlotte in the expansion draft, as the Bobcats easily have the emptiest rotation in the Association. Wallace, a 6-7, 215-pound perimeter player, is the kind of athlete that can fill up a stat line on the boards and on the defensive end of the floor. With starter's minutes on a team that has little help besides rookie Emeka Okafor, there's no reason he can't be a capable fantasy contributor in the neighborhood of 15 points, seven boards, and a handful of blocks and steals. Think Al Harrington with less polish and a bit more explosiveness.

Jason Terry, Mavericks
J.T. has fallen off the fantasy radar screen a bit, but that's what happens when you play for the Hawks. Instead of being stuck in the NBA's least desirable location in front of empty seats every night, Terry suddenly finds himself running one of the highest-scoring shows for the NBA's most player-friendly owner. For a dude with career-high averages at 19.7 points, 7.4 assists, 4.2 boards, and 1.9 steals, I'd call that a pretty good swap. With apologies to Steve Nash, Terry is a much more dangerous scorer off the pick-and-roll with Dirk Nowitzki, and J.T. just might see a few three-pointers in Dallas. You can count on a statistical resurgence.

Ben Gordon, Bulls
A trendy pick for this season's Rookie of the Year, the most common criticism of Gordon's NBA projection—that he'll struggle to defend bigger guards—won't make a bit of difference in your fantasy totals. Consider for a moment that Dwyane Wade averaged 16.3 points and Kirk Hinrich 12 points in their rookie campaigns and that Gordon is widely regarded a much more polished, complete scorer than either of the above. In addition to scoring, despite measuring in at only 6-3, Gentle Ben has some serious athletic ability and vision. He averaged nearly five boards, over four assists, and more than one takeaway per game in his senior season at UConn.

James Posey, Grizzlies
Posey was considered little more than a defensive stopper and a quality role player when he left Houston for Memphis in free agency last summer. With career averages of 10 points, five boards, and two assists, he's not going to jump out from anyone's stat leader cheat sheets on draft day. But if by chance you had happened to bring along your 2003-2004 season splits, you might notice that Posey averaged 17.2 points, six boards, and two steals per game after last year's All-Star Break, including an 18.4 average in February and a 20.6 spot in April. Yes, the Grizzlies' rotation is arguably deeper than any in the league, but Posey's lock-down defense keeps him on the floor and in coach Hubie Brown's penthouse.

Andre Iguodala, 76ers
When draft experts start throwing around the name Scottie Pippen as an NBA comparison, fantasy hoopsters take notice right quick. The lanky six-time champion once averaged 22 points, almost nine boards, about six dimes, and nearly three steals per game back in the day. You don't throw around projections like that for just anyone, and Iguodala certainly has the build and the versatility to get there eventually. For now, the 76ers are desperate for someone who is willing to do everything but score, as Allen Iverson and Glenn Robinson have that covered. That leaves all of the other fantasy goodies—boards, assists, steals, fast-break buckets—to willing participants like Iguodala, who will make it difficult to keep him off the floor.

Jamal Crawford, Knicks
Crawford was handed the keys to the Bulls' franchise last season and that landed him in this feature a year ago. Then he shot less than 39 percent from the field, turned the ball over 2.4 times per night, got in his coach's doghouse, forced a trade out of Chicago, got a fat new contract, and landed in a three-guard rotation in New York. So how in the world is he a sleeper again this season? Well, it takes some vision, but the argument goes something like this: Crawford is no longer on most fantasy owners' wish list (true), but he still has serious skills (true), gets paid too much money to sit (true, at least outside of the Big Apple), and starting two guard Allan Houston is destined to miss significant time with his ailing knees (guaranteed). Crawford will perform capably as a Sixth Man of the Year candidate and will put up huge numbers when Houston is in street clothes.

Antonio Daniels, Sonics
The Sonics quietly lost veteran point guard Brent Barry to free agency this summer, but fortunately, they got a taste of life without him when he missed a chunk of the year with a hand injury. Daniels got the bulk of the minutes at point guard in his place, and in February he averaged almost 11 points and over seven assists per game. For the sake of reference, dishing the rock out at that rate for a full season would have ranked him sixth in the entire league. Daniels will have to hold off second-year guard Luke Ridnour for the starting gig. However, Luke is oft-injured and still has some maturing to do, while Antonio had an outstanding 6:1 assist-to-turnover ratio in 32 starts last season.

Kirk Hinrich, Bulls
Was there a more surprising fantasy contributor than Hinrich last season? Even the most ardent Bulls' fans thought Kirk would be little more than a gritty, gutty hustler in the mold of general manager John Paxson—only to be pleasantly surprised by their first break in the draft since, well…heck, it's been a long time. Hinrich made the All-Rookie team by putting up 12 points and finishing eighth in the Association with 6.8 dimes per game. More importantly, he helped fantasy owners by chipping in with 3.4 boards and 1.3 steals each outing and led all rookies with 14 double-doubles—yes, more than LeBron and 'Melo. A second year under demanding coach Scott Skiles and a more stable backcourt mate in Ben Gordon should help Hinrich improve upon a less-than-desirable 39-percent shooting clip and 2.7 turnovers per night.

J.R. Smith, Hornets
Consider this our deepest sleeper of the bunch. There is no question that Smith is going to wow you with a couple ultimate highlights—and when we say high, wait until you see this kid jump—but it's difficult to rely on a rookie who may not see much playing time. However, there are two ways in which Smith does see the floor regularly. The first is that both Jamal Mashburn and David Wesley get hurt, which is not only possible, but borderline probable. The second is that the Hornets bow to the demands of Baron Davis—not to trade him, but to pick up the tempo and become a less prodding, more aggressive, open-court squad. Davis will drool over Smith's talent, and Baron's got some leverage as the franchise's most valuable player. You probably don't even need to draft the youngster, but we urge you to keep an eye on him.

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